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Peter schwartz environment11/18/2023 But I see the greatest opportunity where hydrogen is easily available. So is hydrogen no longer a factor as an alternative drive system? Look, twenty years ago, there were basically three options for the alternative drive of the future: batteries, fuel cells and burning hydrogen in a combustion engine. Batteries have proven to be more efficient. In short, the input is very high and the output has been very poor for a long time. On the other hand, hydrogen offers rather poor efficiency. The problem was that, on the one hand, the materials are very expensive – we’re talking about components made of platinum and rare earths. But the categories that we worked out back then are still valid. Just think about the dot-com bubble twenty years ago. No, but the circumstances change, of course. Have the categories changed over the decades? Then we have to evaluate which category is the most important or represents the greatest uncertainty. We always take five categories into consideration: social, technological, economic, environmental, and political. The basic idea is that you have to broaden your view. But only regarding the particular weight of the parameters. Naturally, this is where the risks come in: What are the problem areas? Do we need to delay the introduction of a new product? What key parameters do you apply in your work? But to do that, it is essential to consider various scenarios. ![]() Some companies are just interested in assessing opportunities at first. What do companies tend to be more interested in: seizing opportunities or minimizing risks?īoth. Peter Schwartz, you develop future scenarios for companies. Virtual Tour Reichelsheim Production Site Segment-Specific Solutions for the Heavy and Process Industry Rapid Prototyping and Customized Production
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